We are now watching 3 areas of concern in the Atlantic Ocean. One of these is Tropical Storm Fiona and the other two are tropical waves, which have a chance of developing over the coming days. Below is our analysis of the storms and what you can expect.
Tropical Storm Fiona
Tropical Storm Fiona as of this morning has winds near 45 mph and little strengthening is expected to occur. Fiona is going to be in a rough environment for tropical development and will likely be torn apart, though the system even if it develops is too far north to be of any concern to the United States. We will still continue to monitor this storm through the weekend and provide updates as needed.
99L (Tropical Wave w/ 50% Chance of Development)
99L is a tropical wave that is a few hundred miles southeast of Tropical Storm Fiona. This system will have a much better chance of developing into a hurricane over the coming days and weeks. As of now the NHC is giving this storm a 50% chance of development over the next 5 days though looking at the models this morning I won’t be surprised if this isn’t increased later today as I believe this could become a tropical depression over the weekend. I am most concerned with this system because it will likely take a more southerly track and won’t face the same development issues that Fiona has faced. We will continually update on this system as this could likely be the next named storm. We will be providing more information as far as track and intensity are concerned in the coming days.
Tropical Wave (unnamed w/ 30% Chance of Development)
This last area is worth mentioning, but as of now it doesn’t look like it stands a chance of development, though the NHC is giving this area a 30% chance of development over the next 5 days. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this reduced later today, as the environment is not as conductive for development and this storm is in some of the more northerly steering currents, so even if this storm did develop it would likely face the same fate as Tropical Storm Fiona. We will monitor this system over the coming days.
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